Colorado State’s rushing yards with K'saan Farrar and without K'saan Farrar
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Colorado State was 3.2 yards over with K'saan Farrar and 9.4 yards under without K'saan Farrar in 2026, 4 games against 3. The plain averages are 144.0 and 189.3, a difference of 45.3.
K'saan Farrar, quarterback: 943 passing yards, 143 pass attempts and 89 completions in 5 games this season, 5% of Colorado State’s rushing yards in those games.
rushing yards a game over expected
with K'saan Farrar
+3.2
without K'saan Farrar
−9.4
-50050
A +12.6 difference in rushing yards over expected with K'saan Farrar vs without K'saan Farrar is about what you’d expect.
plain
144.0
189.3
100200300
A −45.3 difference in rushing yards with K'saan Farrar vs without K'saan Farrar is about what you’d expect.
The games
with K'saan Farrarwithout K'saan Farrar
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Wyoming | W | 158 | 193.5 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsSSouthern Utah | W | 300 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs BYU | L | 82 | 148.1 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ UTSA | L | 156 | 149.7 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Oregon State | L | 190 | 152.7 | |
| Oct 15, 2026 | @ Texas State | L | 148 | 112.6 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs San Diego State | W | 220 | 160.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Utah State | L | 79 | 131.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Southern Utah has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.