Putting Up Numbers· college football

Coastal Carolina’s total yards with Jevon Edwards and without Jevon Edwards

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Coastal Carolina was 2.5 yards under with Jevon Edwards and 99.9 yards under without Jevon Edwards over its last 25 games, 18 games against 1. The plain averages are 350.7 and 310.0, a difference of 40.6. Expected was 65.0 yards lower with Jevon Edwards than without Jevon Edwards. All 10 home games were with Jevon Edwards. All 9 day games were with Jevon Edwards. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Jevon Edwards.

Jevon Edwards, running back: 509 rushing yards, 109 carries and 11 receptions in 19 of those 25 games.

One game without Jevon Edwards is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Jevon Edwardswithout Jevon Edwards
Coastal Carolina’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Jevon Edwards or without Jevon Edwards
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Nov 16, 2024@MarshallL391357.5
Nov 23, 2024vsGeorgia SouthernL280421.1
Nov 30, 2024@Georgia StateW477365.4
Dec 23, 2024@UTSAL271382.1
Aug 30, 2025@VirginiaL261253.6
Sep 6, 2025vsCCharleston SouthernW388—
Sep 13, 2025vsEast CarolinaL239341.6
Sep 20, 2025@South AlabamaW298334.9
Oct 4, 2025@Old DominionL189300.2
Oct 11, 2025vsLouisiana MonroeW386369.1
Oct 18, 2025@Appalachian StateW413368.8
Oct 30, 2025vsMarshallW411376.6
Nov 8, 2025vsGeorgia StateW444378.3
Nov 15, 2025@Georgia SouthernL482392.6
Nov 22, 2025@South CarolinaL229277.0
Nov 29, 2025vsJames MadisonL171257.3
Dec 30, 2025vsLouisiana Tech (neutral)L356361.0
Sep 5, 2026@West VirginiaL425415.1
Sep 12, 2026vsFordhamW462—
Sep 19, 2026@DelawareL385402.5
Sep 24, 2026vsLibertyL292313.5
Oct 3, 2026vsGeorgia SouthernL370324.9
Oct 10, 2026@MarshallW310409.9
Oct 16, 2026vsAppalachian StateL437381.5
Oct 31, 2026@Georgia StateW375358.8

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 7.7 in 2025, plus 12.1 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% in 2025, 67% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • Charleston Southern, Fordham have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 4 games in 2024 are neither with Jevon Edwards nor without Jevon Edwards: Jevon Edwards had no game for the team that season, and sit out.