Putting Up Numbers· college football

Coastal Carolina’s rushing yards with Jevon Edwards and without Jevon Edwards

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Coastal Carolina was 11.3 yards under with Jevon Edwards and 108.9 yards over without Jevon Edwards over its last 25 games, 18 games against 1. The plain averages are 146.8 and 237.0, a difference of 90.2. All 10 home games were with Jevon Edwards. All 9 day games were with Jevon Edwards. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Jevon Edwards.

Jevon Edwards, running back: 509 rushing yards, 109 carries and 11 receptions in 19 of those 25 games, 18% of Coastal Carolina’s rushing yards in those games.

One game without Jevon Edwards is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Jevon Edwardswithout Jevon Edwards
Coastal Carolina’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Jevon Edwards or without Jevon Edwards
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Nov 16, 2024@MarshallL124180.5
Nov 23, 2024vsGeorgia SouthernL163168.5
Nov 30, 2024@Georgia StateW277179.2
Dec 23, 2024@UTSAL98121.8
Aug 30, 2025@VirginiaL98113.0
Sep 6, 2025vsCCharleston SouthernW249—
Sep 13, 2025vsEast CarolinaL67146.8
Sep 20, 2025@South AlabamaW186166.3
Oct 4, 2025@Old DominionL81133.9
Oct 11, 2025vsLouisiana MonroeW294155.3
Oct 18, 2025@Appalachian StateW249147.6
Oct 30, 2025vsMarshallW215153.1
Nov 8, 2025vsGeorgia StateW324171.5
Nov 15, 2025@Georgia SouthernL204208.8
Nov 22, 2025@South CarolinaL55132.1
Nov 29, 2025vsJames MadisonL-4108.7
Dec 30, 2025vsLouisiana Tech (neutral)L45186.2
Sep 5, 2026@West VirginiaL52144.3
Sep 12, 2026vsFordhamW253—
Sep 19, 2026@DelawareL135129.7
Sep 24, 2026vsLibertyL79142.8
Oct 3, 2026vsGeorgia SouthernL142107.4
Oct 10, 2026@MarshallW237128.1
Oct 16, 2026vsAppalachian StateL139139.7
Oct 31, 2026@Georgia StateW73150.8

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 5.9 in 2025, plus 8.0 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 77% in 2025, 60% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • Charleston Southern, Fordham have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 4 games in 2024 are neither with Jevon Edwards nor without Jevon Edwards: Jevon Edwards had no game for the team that season, and sit out.