Putting Up Numbers· college football

Coastal Carolina’s rushing yards with Jevon Edwards and without Jevon Edwards

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Coastal Carolina was 32.5 yards under with Jevon Edwards and 108.9 yards over without Jevon Edwards in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 124.7 and 237.0, a difference of 112.3. All 4 home games were with Jevon Edwards. All 4 day games were with Jevon Edwards. All 4 nonconference games were with Jevon Edwards.

Jevon Edwards, running back: 141 rushing yards, 44 carries and 4 receptions in 6 games this season, 18% of Coastal Carolina’s rushing yards in those games.

One game without Jevon Edwards is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Jevon Edwardswithout Jevon Edwards
Coastal Carolina’s games, 2026, each marked with Jevon Edwards or without Jevon Edwards
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@West VirginiaL52144.3
Sep 12, 2026vsFordhamW253—
Sep 19, 2026@DelawareL135129.7
Sep 24, 2026vsLibertyL79142.8
Oct 3, 2026vsGeorgia SouthernL142107.4
Oct 10, 2026@MarshallW237128.1
Oct 16, 2026vsAppalachian StateL139139.7
Oct 31, 2026@Georgia StateW73150.8

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Fordham has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.