Coastal Carolina’s points with Jevon Edwards and without Jevon Edwards
, ,
Against what the season’s ratings expected, Coastal Carolina was 1.3 points under with Jevon Edwards and 2.6 points over without Jevon Edwards in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 26.7 and 27.0, a difference of 0.3. Expected was 0.5 points higher with Jevon Edwards than without Jevon Edwards. All 4 home games were with Jevon Edwards. All 4 day games were with Jevon Edwards. All 4 nonconference games were with Jevon Edwards.
Jevon Edwards, running back: 141 rushing yards, 44 carries and 4 receptions in 6 games this season.
One game without Jevon Edwards is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points a game over expected
with Jevon Edwards
−1.3
without Jevon Edwards
+2.6
-100
plain
26.7
27.0
203040
The games
with Jevon Edwardswithout Jevon Edwards
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ West Virginia | L | 24 | 27.5 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Fordham | W | 45 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Delaware | L | 14 | 30.2 | |
| Sep 24, 2026 | vs Liberty | L | 17 | 18.4 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Georgia Southern | L | 24 | 23.5 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Marshall | W | 27 | 24.4 | |
| Oct 16, 2026 | vs Appalachian State | L | 32 | 25.0 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Georgia State | W | 31 | 25.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Fordham has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.