Putting Up Numbers· college football

Coastal Carolina’s penalty yards with Jevon Edwards and without Jevon Edwards

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Coastal Carolina was 5.9 yards over with Jevon Edwards and 39.3 yards under without Jevon Edwards over its last 25 games, 18 games against 1. The plain averages are 61.8 and 20.0, a difference of 41.8. All 10 home games were with Jevon Edwards. All 9 day games were with Jevon Edwards. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Jevon Edwards.

Jevon Edwards, running back: 509 rushing yards, 109 carries and 11 receptions in 19 of those 25 games.

One game without Jevon Edwards is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

The games

with Jevon Edwardswithout Jevon Edwards
Coastal Carolina’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Jevon Edwards or without Jevon Edwards
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Nov 16, 2024@MarshallL6264.5
Nov 23, 2024vsGeorgia SouthernL2571.2
Nov 30, 2024@Georgia StateW6060.7
Dec 23, 2024@UTSAL9654.7
Aug 30, 2025@VirginiaL6046.9
Sep 6, 2025vsCCharleston SouthernW80—
Sep 13, 2025vsEast CarolinaL5552.2
Sep 20, 2025@South AlabamaW5555.1
Oct 4, 2025@Old DominionL5060.7
Oct 11, 2025vsLouisiana MonroeW2555.6
Oct 18, 2025@Appalachian StateW3555.6
Oct 30, 2025vsMarshallW4047.8
Nov 8, 2025vsGeorgia StateW4055.0
Nov 15, 2025@Georgia SouthernL7655.0
Nov 22, 2025@South CarolinaL6353.6
Nov 29, 2025vsJames MadisonL5051.6
Dec 30, 2025vsLouisiana Tech (neutral)L11557.5
Sep 5, 2026@West VirginiaL6062.1
Sep 12, 2026vsFordhamW50—
Sep 19, 2026@DelawareL3062.6
Sep 24, 2026vsLibertyL11755.8
Oct 3, 2026vsGeorgia SouthernL11057.7
Oct 10, 2026@MarshallW2059.3
Oct 16, 2026vsAppalachian StateL6059.8
Oct 31, 2026@Georgia StateW6554.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 2.1 in 2025, minus 1.3 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 45% in 2025, 27% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • Charleston Southern, Fordham have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 4 games in 2024 are neither with Jevon Edwards nor without Jevon Edwards: Jevon Edwards had no game for the team that season, and sit out.