Putting Up Numbers· college football

Coastal Carolina’s passing yards with Jevon Edwards and without Jevon Edwards

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Coastal Carolina was 4.8 yards over with Jevon Edwards and 204.4 yards under without Jevon Edwards over its last 25 games, 18 games against 1. The plain averages are 203.9 and 73.0, a difference of 130.9. All 10 home games were with Jevon Edwards. All 9 day games were with Jevon Edwards. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Jevon Edwards.

Jevon Edwards, running back: 509 rushing yards, 109 carries and 11 receptions in 19 of those 25 games.

One game without Jevon Edwards is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

The games

with Jevon Edwardswithout Jevon Edwards
Coastal Carolina’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Jevon Edwards or without Jevon Edwards
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Nov 16, 2024@MarshallL267180.1
Nov 23, 2024vsGeorgia SouthernL117249.7
Nov 30, 2024@Georgia StateW200188.5
Dec 23, 2024@UTSAL173258.8
Aug 30, 2025@VirginiaL163153.0
Sep 6, 2025vsCCharleston SouthernW139—
Sep 13, 2025vsEast CarolinaL172198.8
Sep 20, 2025@South AlabamaW112175.9
Oct 4, 2025@Old DominionL108174.6
Oct 11, 2025vsLouisiana MonroeW92215.0
Oct 18, 2025@Appalachian StateW164221.5
Oct 30, 2025vsMarshallW196223.3
Nov 8, 2025vsGeorgia StateW120208.6
Nov 15, 2025@Georgia SouthernL278188.0
Nov 22, 2025@South CarolinaL174156.3
Nov 29, 2025vsJames MadisonL175160.0
Dec 30, 2025vsLouisiana Tech (neutral)L311180.8
Sep 5, 2026@West VirginiaL373266.2
Sep 12, 2026vsFordhamW209—
Sep 19, 2026@DelawareL250269.3
Sep 24, 2026vsLibertyL213177.7
Oct 3, 2026vsGeorgia SouthernL228222.4
Oct 10, 2026@MarshallW73277.4
Oct 16, 2026vsAppalachian StateL298240.9
Oct 31, 2026@Georgia StateW302209.9

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every game of its season between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.8 in 2025, plus 4.1 in 2026 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 68% in 2025, 59% in 2026 of the difference the model predicts.
  • Charleston Southern, Fordham have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 4 games in 2024 are neither with Jevon Edwards nor without Jevon Edwards: Jevon Edwards had no game for the team that season, and sit out.