Putting Up Numbers· college football

California’s yards a carry with Adam Mohammed and without Adam Mohammed

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California averaged 3.29 yards a carry with Adam Mohammed and 2.72 without Adam Mohammed over its last 25 games, 6 games against 3, a difference of 0.57. Both ranked opponents were without Adam Mohammed. All 3 nonconference games were with Adam Mohammed.

Adam Mohammed, running back: 363 rushing yards, 82 carries and 18 receptions in 5 of those 25 games.

3 games without Adam Mohammed is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

yards a carry a game

A +0.57 difference in yards a carry with Adam Mohammed vs without Adam Mohammed is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Adam Mohammedwithout Adam Mohammed
California’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Adam Mohammed or without Adam Mohammed
SideDateGameResultyards a carryExpected
Nov 23, 2024vsStanfordW2.68—
Nov 30, 2024@SMUL2.57—
Dec 18, 2024vsUNLV (neutral)L4.23—
Aug 30, 2025@Oregon StateW4.30—
Sep 6, 2025vsTexas SouthernW5.24—
Sep 13, 2025vsMinnesotaW2.74—
Sep 20, 2025@San Diego StateL2.10—
Sep 27, 2025@Boston CollegeW3.36—
Oct 4, 2025vsDukeL1.41—
Oct 17, 2025vsNorth CarolinaW2.58—
Oct 24, 2025@Virginia TechL1.81—
Nov 1, 2025vsVirginiaL0.32—
Nov 8, 2025@LouisvilleW3.08—
Nov 22, 2025@StanfordL0.68—
Nov 29, 2025vsSMUW3.42—
Dec 24, 2025@HawaiiL5.14—
Sep 5, 2026vsUCLAL3.29—
Sep 12, 2026@SyracuseW2.88—
Sep 19, 2026vsWWagnerW4.79—
Sep 25, 2026vsClemsonL3.19—
Oct 3, 2026@UNLVL2.88—
Oct 10, 2026vsVirginia TechW3.15—
Oct 17, 2026vsWake ForestL3.57—
Oct 24, 2026@SMUL1.43—
Oct 31, 2026@NC StateL2.70—

Method

Read against .

  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 16 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Adam Mohammed nor without Adam Mohammed: Adam Mohammed had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.