BYU’s points of margin with Preston Rex and since Preston Rex’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, BYU was 3.7 points over with Preston Rex and 11.3 points under since Preston Rex’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 14.6 and 7.0, a difference of 7.6. Expected was 14.3 points lower with Preston Rex than since Preston Rex’s last game. All 3 away games were with Preston Rex. Both night games were with Preston Rex. All 3 nonconference games were with Preston Rex.
Preston Rex, defender: 223 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns and 47 receiving yards in 7 games this season.
One game since Preston Rex’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Preston Rex
+3.7
since Preston Rex’s last game
−11.3
-10010
plain
14.6
7.0
02040
The games
with Preston Rexsince Preston Rex’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsUUtah Tech | W | 56 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Arizona | W | 11 | -0.8 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Colorado State | W | 18 | 20.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ TCU | W | 7 | 0.6 | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | vs Iowa State | W | 14 | 8.5 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Notre Dame | W | 4 | -13.2 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ UCF | L | -8 | 8.6 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Arizona State | W | 7 | 18.3 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Utah Tech has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 4 of these 8 games; in the other 4 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.