Putting Up Numbers· college football

Bowling Green’s total yards with Austyn Dendy and since Austyn Dendy’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Bowling Green was 40.4 yards under with Austyn Dendy and 18.2 yards under since Austyn Dendy’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 290.5 and 274.0, a difference of 16.5. All 4 home games were with Austyn Dendy. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Austyn Dendy. All 4 nonconference games were with Austyn Dendy.

Austyn Dendy, running back: 371 rushing yards, 104 carries and 5 receptions in 8 games this season.

One game since Austyn Dendy’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Austyn Dendysince Austyn Dendy’s last game
Bowling Green’s games, 2026, each marked with Austyn Dendy or since Austyn Dendy’s last game
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsTTarleton StateL386—
Sep 12, 2026@NebraskaL169242.9
Sep 19, 2026@Iowa StateL188291.0
Sep 26, 2026vsSouth FloridaL207300.1
Oct 3, 2026@Miami (OH)W365304.4
Oct 10, 2026vsSSacramento StateW355—
Oct 17, 2026vsBall StateL313357.9
Oct 24, 2026@BuffaloL341329.2
Oct 31, 2026@Western MichiganL274292.2

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Tarleton State, Sacramento State have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.