Bowling Green’s points of margin with Austyn Dendy and since Austyn Dendy’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Bowling Green was 5.2 points under with Austyn Dendy and 4.8 points over since Austyn Dendy’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are -11.0 and -13.0, a difference of 2.0. Expected was 4.8 points higher with Austyn Dendy than since Austyn Dendy’s last game. All 4 home games were with Austyn Dendy. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Austyn Dendy. All 4 nonconference games were with Austyn Dendy.
Austyn Dendy, running back: 371 rushing yards, 104 carries and 5 receptions in 8 games this season.
One game since Austyn Dendy’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Austyn Dendy
−5.2
since Austyn Dendy’s last game
+4.8
-200
plain
-11.0
-13.0
-40-20020
The games
with Austyn Dendysince Austyn Dendy’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsTTarleton State | L | -7 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Nebraska | L | -49 | -27.6 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Iowa State | L | -48 | -19.0 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs South Florida | L | -8 | -13.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Miami (OH) | W | 4 | -12.5 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vsSSacramento State | W | 28 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Ball State | L | -1 | 5.1 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Buffalo | L | -7 | -10.7 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Western Michigan | L | -13 | -17.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Tarleton State, Sacramento State have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.