Putting Up Numbers· college football

Bowling Green’s pass attempts with Austyn Dendy and since Austyn Dendy’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Bowling Green was 2.6 pass attempts under with Austyn Dendy and 4.7 pass attempts over since Austyn Dendy’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 25.1 and 32.0, a difference of 6.9. All 4 home games were with Austyn Dendy. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Austyn Dendy. All 4 nonconference games were with Austyn Dendy.

Austyn Dendy, running back: 371 rushing yards, 104 carries and 5 receptions in 8 games this season.

One game since Austyn Dendy’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Austyn Dendysince Austyn Dendy’s last game
Bowling Green’s games, 2026, each marked with Austyn Dendy or since Austyn Dendy’s last game
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsTTarleton StateL30—
Sep 12, 2026@NebraskaL1629.8
Sep 19, 2026@Iowa StateL2227.4
Sep 26, 2026vsSouth FloridaL2827.9
Oct 3, 2026@Miami (OH)W3732.7
Oct 10, 2026vsSSacramento StateW17—
Oct 17, 2026vsBall StateL2426.7
Oct 24, 2026@BuffaloL2725.2
Oct 31, 2026@Western MichiganL3227.3

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Tarleton State, Sacramento State have no other game in the table, so those games have no expected number and sit out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.