Boston College’s yards a carry with Nolan Ray and without Nolan Ray
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Boston College averaged 4.70 yards a carry with Nolan Ray and 4.21 without Nolan Ray over its last 25 games, 6 games against 2, a difference of 0.49.
Nolan Ray, running back: 42 rushing yards, 7 carries and 1 reception in 4 of those 25 games.
2 games without Nolan Ray is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
yards a carry a game
with Nolan Ray
4.70
without Nolan Ray
4.21
468
A +0.49 difference in yards a carry with Nolan Ray vs without Nolan Ray is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Nolan Raywithout Nolan Ray
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | vs Syracuse | W | 6.69 | — | |
| Nov 16, 2024 | @ SMU | L | 4.19 | — | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | vs North Carolina | W | 4.51 | — | |
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Pittsburgh | W | 3.83 | — | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | vs Nebraska (neutral) | L | 1.81 | — | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vs Fordham | W | 2.58 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ Michigan State | L | 2.68 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @ Stanford | L | 2.43 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs California | L | 8.48 | — | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @Pittsburgh | L | 1.30 | — | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Clemson | L | 2.66 | — | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs UConn | L | 3.90 | — | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Louisville | L | 3.22 | — | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Notre Dame | L | 0.36 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vsSMU | L | 2.65 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Georgia Tech | L | 6.73 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @Syracuse | W | 4.96 | — | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Cincinnati | L | 4.34 | — | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | vs Rutgers | W | 5.48 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Maine | W | 5.28 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Virginia Tech | L | 4.08 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @SMU | L | 3.45 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vsPittsburgh | W | 2.92 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @Georgia Tech | W | 8.72 | — | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Duke | L | 2.36 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Nolan Ray nor without Nolan Ray: Nolan Ray had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.