Putting Up Numbers· college football

Boston College’s total yards with Evan Dickens and since Evan Dickens’ last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Boston College was 12.9 yards over with Evan Dickens and 121.4 yards under since Evan Dickens’ last game over its last 25 games, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 378.7 and 213.0, a difference of 165.7. All 4 home games were with Evan Dickens. All 3 nonconference games were with Evan Dickens.

Evan Dickens, running back: 296 rushing yards, 66 carries and 12 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.

One game since Evan Dickens’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Evan Dickenssince Evan Dickens’ last game
Boston College’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Evan Dickens or since Evan Dickens’ last game
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Nov 9, 2024vsSyracuseW386375.4
Nov 16, 2024@SMUL417309.6
Nov 23, 2024vsNorth CarolinaW422403.3
Nov 30, 2024vsPittsburghW387360.0
Dec 28, 2024vsNebraska (neutral)L348307.8
Aug 30, 2025vsFordhamW556—
Sep 6, 2025@Michigan StateL457346.6
Sep 13, 2025@StanfordL389371.3
Sep 27, 2025vsCaliforniaL375387.6
Oct 4, 2025@PittsburghL219341.7
Oct 11, 2025vsClemsonL221391.4
Oct 18, 2025vsUConnL395471.8
Oct 25, 2025@LouisvilleL360306.3
Nov 1, 2025vsNotre DameL281309.6
Nov 8, 2025vsSMUL390391.6
Nov 15, 2025vsGeorgia TechL537382.1
Nov 29, 2025@SyracuseW435376.2
Sep 5, 2026@CincinnatiL388405.5
Sep 11, 2026vsRutgersW411439.2
Sep 19, 2026vsMaineW363—
Sep 26, 2026vsVirginia TechL262393.5
Oct 3, 2026@SMUL322294.2
Oct 17, 2026vsPittsburghW403318.3
Oct 24, 2026@Georgia TechW502359.8
Oct 31, 2026@DukeL213334.4

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Maine has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Evan Dickens nor since Evan Dickens’ last game: Evan Dickens had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.