Putting Up Numbers· college football

Boston College’s pass attempts with Evan Dickens and since Evan Dickens’ last game

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, Boston College was 1.4 pass attempts under with Evan Dickens and 0.4 pass attempts under since Evan Dickens’ last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 26.4 and 27.0, a difference of 0.6. Expected was 1.3 pass attempts higher with Evan Dickens than since Evan Dickens’ last game. All 4 home games were with Evan Dickens. All 3 nonconference games were with Evan Dickens. All 4 first-half games were with Evan Dickens.

Evan Dickens, running back: 296 rushing yards, 66 carries and 12 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game since Evan Dickens’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

The games

with Evan Dickenssince Evan Dickens’ last game
Boston College’s games, 2026, each marked with Evan Dickens or since Evan Dickens’ last game
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Sep 5, 2026@CincinnatiL3532.6
Sep 11, 2026vsRutgersW2927.5
Sep 19, 2026vsMaineW21—
Sep 26, 2026vsVirginia TechL2328.6
Oct 3, 2026@SMUL3225.5
Oct 17, 2026vsPittsburghW2829.9
Oct 24, 2026@Georgia TechW1728.3
Oct 31, 2026@DukeL2727.4

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Maine has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.