Boston College’s carries with Evan Dickens and since Evan Dickens’ last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Boston College was 1.1 carries over with Evan Dickens and 3.6 carries under since Evan Dickens’ last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 36.6 and 33.0, a difference of 3.6. All 4 home games were with Evan Dickens. All 3 nonconference games were with Evan Dickens. All 4 first-half games were with Evan Dickens.
Evan Dickens, running back: 296 rushing yards, 66 carries and 12 receptions in 7 games this season, 26% of Boston College’s carries in those games.
One game since Evan Dickens’ last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
carries a game over expected
with Evan Dickens
+1.1
since Evan Dickens’ last game
−3.6
-10-505
plain
36.6
33.0
30354045
The games
with Evan Dickenssince Evan Dickens’ last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | carries | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Cincinnati | L | 38 | 35.0 | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | vs Rutgers | W | 29 | 39.0 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Maine | W | 36 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Virginia Tech | L | 37 | 32.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ SMU | L | 33 | 34.6 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Pittsburgh | W | 37 | 33.7 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Georgia Tech | W | 46 | 39.3 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Duke | L | 33 | 36.6 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 0.6 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 61% of the difference the model predicts.
- Maine has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.