Putting Up Numbers· college football

Boise State’s yards a carry with Sire Gaines and without Sire Gaines

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Boise State averaged 5.18 yards a carry with Sire Gaines and 4.47 without Sire Gaines over its last 25 games, 19 games against 6, a difference of 0.71. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Sire Gaines. All 3 games after a bye were with Sire Gaines.

Sire Gaines, running back: 1,229 rushing yards, 236 carries and 21 receptions in 19 of those 25 games.

yards a carry a game

A +0.71 difference in yards a carry with Sire Gaines vs without Sire Gaines is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Sire Gaineswithout Sire Gaines
Boise State’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Sire Gaines or without Sire Gaines
SideDateGameResultyards a carryExpected
Nov 29, 2024vsOregon StateW5.79—
Dec 6, 2024vsUNLVW6.23—
Dec 31, 2024vsPenn State (neutral)L2.70—
Aug 28, 2025@South FloridaL3.21—
Sep 5, 2025vsEEastern WashingtonW8.92—
Sep 20, 2025@Air ForceW9.83—
Sep 27, 2025vsAppalachian StateW3.56—
Oct 4, 2025@Notre DameL2.94—
Oct 11, 2025vsNew MexicoW3.13—
Oct 18, 2025vsUNLVW9.55—
Oct 24, 2025@NevadaW3.09—
Nov 1, 2025vsFresno StateL3.14—
Nov 15, 2025@San Diego StateL4—
Nov 22, 2025vsColorado StateW5.49—
Nov 28, 2025@Utah StateW3.72—
Dec 5, 2025vsUNLVW4.65—
Dec 13, 2025vsWashington (neutral)L2.07—
Sep 5, 2026@OregonL2.69—
Sep 12, 2026vsMemphisW7.80—
Sep 19, 2026vsSSouth DakotaW6.96—
Sep 26, 2026@Western MichiganW4.43—
Oct 3, 2026vsUtah StateW4.51—
Oct 10, 2026@Fresno StateW6.25—
Oct 24, 2026@Washington StateW7.46—
Oct 31, 2026vsTexas StateW3.18—

Method

Read against .

  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 21 of these 25 games; in the other 4 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.