Army’s yards a carry with Carson Smith and without Carson Smith
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Army averaged 5.27 yards a carry with Carson Smith and 4.75 without Carson Smith over its last 25 games, 19 games against 5, a difference of 0.51. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Carson Smith. Both bowl and playoff games were with Carson Smith.
Carson Smith, running back: 421 rushing yards, 100 carries and 1 reception in 17 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with Carson Smith
5.27
without Carson Smith
4.75
46810
A +0.51 difference in yards a carry with Carson Smith vs without Carson Smith is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Carson Smithwithout Carson Smith
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs UTSA | W | 3.78 | — | |
| Dec 6, 2024 | vs Tulane | W | 6.15 | — | |
| Dec 14, 2024 | vs Navy (neutral) | L | 3 | — | |
| Dec 28, 2024 | vs Louisiana Tech (neutral) | W | 5.11 | — | |
| Aug 29, 2025 | vsTTarleton State | L | 4.24 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ Kansas State | W | 3.39 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs North Texas | L | 5.69 | — | |
| Sep 25, 2025 | @ East Carolina | L | 4.55 | — | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | @ UAB | W | 4.24 | — | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Charlotte | W | 4.84 | — | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @Tulane | L | 3.70 | — | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Air Force | W | 4.41 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Temple | W | 3.74 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Tulsa | L | 4.49 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @UTSA | W | 4.94 | — | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | vsNavy (neutral) | L | — | — | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs UConn (neutral) | W | 6.57 | — | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsBBryant | W | 10.18 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs South Florida | L | 4.29 | — | |
| Sep 25, 2026 | @Temple | W | 5.15 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @Louisiana Tech | L | 6 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vsTulane | W | 5.58 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Florida Atlantic | W | 7.98 | — | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | @Tulsa | W | 5.39 | — | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Memphis | L | 6.44 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 20 of these 25 games; in the other 5 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.