Putting Up Numbers· college football

Arkansas’ total yards with Chris Marshall and since Chris Marshall’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Arkansas was 16.1 yards under with Chris Marshall and 11.7 yards under since Chris Marshall’s last game in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 343.6 and 322.0, a difference of 21.6. All 3 away games were with Chris Marshall. All 4 day games were with Chris Marshall. All 4 unranked opponents were with Chris Marshall.

Chris Marshall, receiver: 601 receiving yards, 43 receptions and 2 receiving touchdowns in 7 games this season.

One game since Chris Marshall’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with Chris Marshallsince Chris Marshall’s last game
Arkansas’ games, 2026, each marked with Chris Marshall or since Chris Marshall’s last game
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsNNorth AlabamaW417—
Sep 12, 2026@UtahL305345.8
Sep 19, 2026vsGeorgiaL300322.0
Sep 26, 2026vsTulsaW443411.1
Oct 3, 2026@Texas A&ML214342.3
Oct 10, 2026vsTennesseeL288316.9
Oct 17, 2026@VanderbiltW438346.2
Oct 31, 2026vsMissouriL322333.7

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • North Alabama has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 4 of these 8 games; in the other 4 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.