Putting Up Numbers· college football

Alabama’s total yards with EJ Crowell and since EJ Crowell’s last game

, ,

Against what the season’s ratings expected, Alabama was 14.5 yards over with EJ Crowell and 5.3 yards under since EJ Crowell’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 418.4 and 382.0, a difference of 36.4. All 3 away games were with EJ Crowell. Both night games were with EJ Crowell. All 3 ranked opponents were with EJ Crowell.

EJ Crowell, running back: 216 rushing yards, 32 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game since EJ Crowell’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

total yards a game over expected

The games

with EJ Crowellsince EJ Crowell’s last game
Alabama’s games, 2026, each marked with EJ Crowell or since EJ Crowell’s last game
SideDateGameResulttotal yardsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsEast CarolinaW489439.3
Sep 12, 2026@KentuckyW343400.8
Sep 19, 2026vsFlorida StateW572452.2
Sep 26, 2026vsSouth CarolinaW491393.1
Oct 3, 2026@Mississippi StateW487384.1
Oct 10, 2026vsGeorgiaL346376.9
Oct 17, 2026@TennesseeL201381.1
Oct 24, 2026vsTexas A&MW382387.3

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 12.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 67% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.