Putting Up Numbers· college football

Alabama’s points with EJ Crowell and since EJ Crowell’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Alabama was 4.9 points over with EJ Crowell and 2.1 points under since EJ Crowell’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 39.3 and 31.0, a difference of 8.3. All 3 away games were with EJ Crowell. Both night games were with EJ Crowell. All 3 ranked opponents were with EJ Crowell.

EJ Crowell, running back: 216 rushing yards, 32 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season.

One game since EJ Crowell’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

points a game over expected

The games

with EJ Crowellsince EJ Crowell’s last game
Alabama’s games, 2026, each marked with EJ Crowell or since EJ Crowell’s last game
SideDateGameResultpointsExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsEast CarolinaW4841.1
Sep 12, 2026@KentuckyW4528.8
Sep 19, 2026vsFlorida StateW5039.9
Sep 26, 2026vsSouth CarolinaW4934.6
Oct 3, 2026@Mississippi StateW5629.8
Oct 10, 2026vsGeorgiaL1734.5
Oct 17, 2026@TennesseeL1032.1
Oct 24, 2026vsTexas A&MW3133.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.