Alabama’s points of margin with EJ Crowell and since EJ Crowell’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Alabama was 4.6 points over with EJ Crowell and 5.0 points under since EJ Crowell’s last game over its last 25 games, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 17.9 and 11.0, a difference of 6.9. All 3 away games were with EJ Crowell. Both night games were with EJ Crowell. All 3 ranked opponents were with EJ Crowell.
EJ Crowell, running back: 216 rushing yards, 32 carries and 3 receptions in 7 of those 25 games.
One game since EJ Crowell’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with EJ Crowell
+4.6
since EJ Crowell’s last game
−5.0
-20020
plain
17.9
11.0
020
The games
with EJ Crowellsince EJ Crowell’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | vs Auburn | W | 14 | 17.7 | |
| Dec 31, 2024 | vs Michigan (neutral) | L | -6 | 12.1 | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | @ Florida State | L | -14 | 8.4 | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vs Louisiana Monroe | W | 73 | 37.5 | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs Wisconsin | W | 24 | 15.0 | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | @ Georgia | W | 3 | -5.0 | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vs Vanderbilt | W | 16 | 0.4 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Missouri | W | 3 | 3.9 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Tennessee | W | 17 | 8.5 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ South Carolina | W | 7 | 8.4 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs LSU | W | 11 | 12.7 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Oklahoma | L | -2 | 5.6 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vsEEastern Illinois | W | 56 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @Auburn | W | 7 | 5.7 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | vsGeorgia (neutral) | L | -21 | 1.5 | |
| Dec 19, 2025 | @Oklahoma | W | 10 | -2.4 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | vs Indiana (neutral) | L | -35 | -15.0 | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs East Carolina | W | 38 | 36.2 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Kentucky | W | 28 | 0.8 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsFlorida State | W | 14 | 26.2 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsSouth Carolina | W | 31 | 6.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Mississippi State | W | 33 | 5.1 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vsGeorgia | L | -3 | 7.6 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @Tennessee | L | -16 | 10.8 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Texas A&M | W | 11 | 16.0 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with EJ Crowell nor since EJ Crowell’s last game: EJ Crowell had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.