Alabama’s points allowed with EJ Crowell and since EJ Crowell’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Alabama was 1.9 points under with EJ Crowell and 0.3 points over since EJ Crowell’s last game in 2026, 7 games against 1. The plain averages are 21.4 and 20.0, a difference of 1.4. Expected was 3.7 points higher with EJ Crowell than since EJ Crowell’s last game. All 3 away games were with EJ Crowell. Both night games were with EJ Crowell. All 3 ranked opponents were with EJ Crowell.
EJ Crowell, running back: 216 rushing yards, 32 carries and 3 receptions in 7 games this season.
One game since EJ Crowell’s last game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
with EJ Crowell
−1.9
since EJ Crowell’s last game
+0.3
-10010
plain
21.4
20.0
102030
The games
with EJ Crowellsince EJ Crowell’s last game
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs East Carolina | W | 10 | 11.0 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Kentucky | W | 17 | 28.1 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Florida State | W | 36 | 17.9 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs South Carolina | W | 18 | 29.6 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Mississippi State | W | 23 | 25.5 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Georgia | L | 20 | 28.2 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Tennessee | L | 26 | 23.2 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Texas A&M | W | 20 | 19.7 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.