Putting Up Numbers· college football

Akron’s rushing yards with Sean Patrick and without Sean Patrick

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Akron was 13.3 yards under with Sean Patrick and 8.7 yards under without Sean Patrick in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 142.9 and 89.0, a difference of 53.9. All 3 home games were with Sean Patrick. All 4 nonconference games were with Sean Patrick. All 4 first-half games were with Sean Patrick.

Sean Patrick, running back: 259 rushing yards, 47 carries and 12 receptions in 8 games this season, 26% of Akron’s rushing yards in those games.

One game without Sean Patrick is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

rushing yards a game over expected

The games

with Sean Patrickwithout Sean Patrick
Akron’s games, 2026, each marked with Sean Patrick or without Sean Patrick
SideDateGameResultrushing yardsExpected
Sep 3, 2026@Wake ForestL15181.1
Sep 12, 2026vsRRobert MorrisW241—
Sep 19, 2026@MinnesotaL51142.7
Sep 26, 2026vsUNLVL107174.9
Oct 3, 2026@Central MichiganL160156.6
Oct 10, 2026vsEastern MichiganL143154.7
Oct 17, 2026@Miami (OH)L8997.7
Oct 24, 2026@Kent StateL147128.5

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • Robert Morris has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.