Akron’s rushing yards with Brayden Roggow and without Brayden Roggow
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Akron was 26.4 yards under with Brayden Roggow and 69.9 yards over without Brayden Roggow in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are 116.2 and 196.0, a difference of 79.8. All 4 conference games were with Brayden Roggow. All 4 second-half games were with Brayden Roggow.
Brayden Roggow, quarterback: 1,343 passing yards, 192 pass attempts and 112 completions in 9 games this season.
2 games without Brayden Roggow is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
rushing yards a game over expected
A −79.8 difference in rushing yards with Brayden Roggow vs without Brayden Roggow is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were with Brayden Roggow and it comes up 10 times in 100.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | rushing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Wake Forest | L | 151 | 81.1 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsRRobert Morris | W | 241 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Minnesota | L | 51 | 142.7 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs UNLV | L | 107 | 174.9 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Central Michigan | L | 160 | 156.6 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Eastern Michigan | L | 143 | 154.7 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Miami (OH) | L | 89 | 97.7 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Kent State | L | 147 | 128.5 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 8.0 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- Robert Morris has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.