Akron’s points of margin with Sean Patrick and without Sean Patrick
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Akron was 3.8 points under with Sean Patrick and 8.6 points under without Sean Patrick in 2026, 6 games against 1. The plain averages are -12.9 and -20.0, a difference of 7.1. All 3 home games were with Sean Patrick. All 4 nonconference games were with Sean Patrick. All 4 first-half games were with Sean Patrick.
Sean Patrick, running back: 259 rushing yards, 47 carries and 12 receptions in 8 games this season.
One game without Sean Patrick is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points of margin a game over expected
with Sean Patrick
−3.8
without Sean Patrick
−8.6
-20020
plain
-12.9
-20.0
-20020
The games
with Sean Patrickwithout Sean Patrick
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points of margin | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Wake Forest | L | -22 | -48.8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsRRobert Morris | W | 35 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Minnesota | L | -34 | -26.5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs UNLV | L | -28 | -6.9 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Central Michigan | L | -24 | -10.6 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Eastern Michigan | L | -2 | -6.2 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Miami (OH) | L | -20 | -11.4 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Kent State | L | -15 | -3.4 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 3.7 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 79% of the difference the model predicts.
- Robert Morris has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.