Akron’s points allowed with Cibastian Broughton and since Cibastian Broughton’s last game
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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Akron was 9.4 points under with Cibastian Broughton and 5.5 points over since Cibastian Broughton’s last game in 2026, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 24.0 and 35.7, a difference of 11.7. Expected was 17.3 points higher with Cibastian Broughton than since Cibastian Broughton’s last game. All 4 conference games were since Cibastian Broughton’s last game. All 4 second-half games were since Cibastian Broughton’s last game.
Cibastian Broughton, quarterback: 612 passing yards, 100 pass attempts and 75 completions in 5 games this season.
2 games with Cibastian Broughton is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
points allowed a game over expected
A −11.7 difference in points allowed with Cibastian Broughton vs since Cibastian Broughton’s last game is about what you’d expect.
The games
| Side | Date | Game | Result | points allowed | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | @ Wake Forest | L | 38 | 47.4 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsRRobert Morris | W | 10 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Minnesota | L | 41 | 35.6 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs UNLV | L | 38 | 28.6 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Central Michigan | L | 41 | 29.0 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Eastern Michigan | L | 25 | 30.3 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ Miami (OH) | L | 34 | 32.8 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Kent State | L | 35 | 24.8 |
Method
- Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.9 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 66% of the difference the model predicts.
- The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
- Robert Morris has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
- With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.