Putting Up Numbers· college football

Akron’s penalty yards with Cibastian Broughton and since Cibastian Broughton’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Akron was 25.4 yards under with Cibastian Broughton and 16.0 yards over since Cibastian Broughton’s last game over its last 25 games, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 51.5 and 75.8, a difference of 24.3. All 4 conference games were since Cibastian Broughton’s last game.

Cibastian Broughton, quarterback: 380 passing yards, 66 pass attempts and 53 completions in 4 of those 25 games.

2 games with Cibastian Broughton is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

A −24.3 difference in penalty yards with Cibastian Broughton vs since Cibastian Broughton’s last game is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Cibastian Broughtonsince Cibastian Broughton’s last game
Akron’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Cibastian Broughton or since Cibastian Broughton’s last game
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Oct 26, 2024vsEastern MichiganW7756.3
Nov 2, 2024vsBuffaloL3048.0
Nov 13, 2024@Northern IllinoisL2252.7
Nov 19, 2024@Kent StateW5254.4
Nov 26, 2024vsToledoW6356.6
Aug 28, 2025vsWyomingL3458.3
Sep 6, 2025@NebraskaL548.3
Sep 13, 2025@UABL4453.9
Sep 20, 2025vsDuquesneW55—
Sep 27, 2025@ToledoL1649.0
Oct 4, 2025vsCentral MichiganW6949.6
Oct 11, 2025vsMiami (OH)L6043.5
Oct 18, 2025@Ball StateL7450.6
Oct 25, 2025@BuffaloW4844.5
Nov 4, 2025vsUMassW7444.0
Nov 11, 2025vsKent StateL3048.5
Nov 18, 2025@Bowling GreenW4050.8
Sep 3, 2026@Wake ForestL3560.4
Sep 12, 2026vsRRobert MorrisW68—
Sep 19, 2026@MinnesotaL7455.4
Sep 26, 2026vsUNLVL2565.6
Oct 3, 2026@Central MichiganL5860.1
Oct 10, 2026vsEastern MichiganL8262.3
Oct 17, 2026@Miami (OH)L5160.7
Oct 24, 2026@Kent StateL16555.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
  • Robert Morris has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Cibastian Broughton nor since Cibastian Broughton’s last game: Cibastian Broughton had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.