Putting Up Numbers· college football

Akron’s penalty yards with Cibastian Broughton and since Cibastian Broughton’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Akron was 25.4 yards under with Cibastian Broughton and 16.0 yards over since Cibastian Broughton’s last game in 2026, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 51.5 and 75.8, a difference of 24.3. All 4 conference games were since Cibastian Broughton’s last game. All 4 second-half games were since Cibastian Broughton’s last game.

Cibastian Broughton, quarterback: 612 passing yards, 100 pass attempts and 75 completions in 5 games this season.

2 games with Cibastian Broughton is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

penalty yards a game over expected

A −24.3 difference in penalty yards with Cibastian Broughton vs since Cibastian Broughton’s last game is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Cibastian Broughtonsince Cibastian Broughton’s last game
Akron’s games, 2026, each marked with Cibastian Broughton or since Cibastian Broughton’s last game
SideDateGameResultpenalty yardsExpected
Sep 3, 2026@Wake ForestL3560.4
Sep 12, 2026vsRRobert MorrisW68—
Sep 19, 2026@MinnesotaL7455.4
Sep 26, 2026vsUNLVL2565.6
Oct 3, 2026@Central MichiganL5860.1
Oct 10, 2026vsEastern MichiganL8262.3
Oct 17, 2026@Miami (OH)L5160.7
Oct 24, 2026@Kent StateL16555.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 1.3 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 27% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
  • Robert Morris has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.