Putting Up Numbers· college football

Akron’s passing yards with Cibastian Broughton and since Cibastian Broughton’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Akron was 34.6 yards under with Cibastian Broughton and 2.9 yards under since Cibastian Broughton’s last game over its last 25 games, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 219.0 and 214.2, a difference of 4.8. Expected was 26.5 yards lower with Cibastian Broughton than since Cibastian Broughton’s last game. All 4 conference games were since Cibastian Broughton’s last game.

Cibastian Broughton, quarterback: 380 passing yards, 66 pass attempts and 53 completions in 4 of those 25 games, 47% of Akron’s passing yards in those games.

2 games with Cibastian Broughton is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

passing yards a game over expected

A +4.8 difference in passing yards with Cibastian Broughton vs since Cibastian Broughton’s last game is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Cibastian Broughtonsince Cibastian Broughton’s last game
Akron’s games, last 25 games, each marked with Cibastian Broughton or since Cibastian Broughton’s last game
SideDateGameResultpassing yardsExpected
Oct 26, 2024vsEastern MichiganW157266.0
Nov 2, 2024vsBuffaloL378249.4
Nov 13, 2024@Northern IllinoisL205188.2
Nov 19, 2024@Kent StateW250247.6
Nov 26, 2024vsToledoW221226.0
Aug 28, 2025vsWyomingL139200.1
Sep 6, 2025@NebraskaL62178.8
Sep 13, 2025@UABL282211.8
Sep 20, 2025vsDuquesneW249—
Sep 27, 2025@ToledoL79225.5
Oct 4, 2025vsCentral MichiganW255223.2
Oct 11, 2025vsMiami (OH)L211234.6
Oct 18, 2025@Ball StateL291223.3
Oct 25, 2025@BuffaloW230210.0
Nov 4, 2025vsUMassW230242.3
Nov 11, 2025vsKent StateL424224.9
Nov 18, 2025@Bowling GreenW176225.9
Sep 3, 2026@Wake ForestL156190.6
Sep 12, 2026vsRRobert MorrisW282—
Sep 19, 2026@MinnesotaL173157.8
Sep 26, 2026vsUNLVL194193.6
Oct 3, 2026@Central MichiganL180202.0
Oct 10, 2026vsEastern MichiganL229255.3
Oct 17, 2026@Miami (OH)L234281.6
Oct 24, 2026@Kent StateL275212.1

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, plus 4.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 59% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
  • Robert Morris has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.
  • 17 games in 2024 and 2025 are neither with Cibastian Broughton nor since Cibastian Broughton’s last game: Cibastian Broughton had no game for the team those seasons, and sit out.