Putting Up Numbers· college football

Akron’s pass attempts with Cibastian Broughton and since Cibastian Broughton’s last game

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Against what the season’s ratings expected, Akron was 1.9 pass attempts under with Cibastian Broughton and 1.2 pass attempts over since Cibastian Broughton’s last game in 2026, 1 game against 6. The plain averages are 33.0 and 32.2, a difference of 0.8. Expected was 3.9 pass attempts higher with Cibastian Broughton than since Cibastian Broughton’s last game. All 4 conference games were since Cibastian Broughton’s last game. All 4 second-half games were since Cibastian Broughton’s last game.

Cibastian Broughton, quarterback: 612 passing yards, 100 pass attempts and 75 completions in 5 games this season, 76% of Akron’s pass attempts in those games.

2 games with Cibastian Broughton is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

pass attempts a game over expected

A +0.8 difference in pass attempts with Cibastian Broughton vs since Cibastian Broughton’s last game is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Cibastian Broughtonsince Cibastian Broughton’s last game
Akron’s games, 2026, each marked with Cibastian Broughton or since Cibastian Broughton’s last game
SideDateGameResultpass attemptsExpected
Sep 3, 2026@Wake ForestL3334.9
Sep 12, 2026vsRRobert MorrisW33—
Sep 19, 2026@MinnesotaL3926.8
Sep 26, 2026vsUNLVL2631.0
Oct 3, 2026@Central MichiganL3229.9
Oct 10, 2026vsEastern MichiganL2432.4
Oct 17, 2026@Miami (OH)L3837.8
Oct 24, 2026@Kent StateL3428.2

Method

Read against .

  • Expected is an offense and a defense a team, fit over every 2026 game between two teams in the table with the game being read left out, minus 0.1 for the home team (the edge the fit finds once strength is in), nothing at a neutral site.
  • Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 60% of the difference the model predicts.
  • The two sides are the games before and after one date, so the shuffle moves any game between them.
  • Robert Morris has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.
  • With him means he was the team’s quarterback that game, at least half of its pass attempts; a game he left early or came into late reads as without him.