Max Johnson’s passing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed quarterbacks, Max Johnson was 91.0 yards over at home and 4.0 yards under away in 2026, 3 games against 4. The plain averages are 308.8 and 173.3, a difference of 135.5.
passing yards a game over expected
at home
+91.0
away
−4.0
-1000100
A +95.0 difference in passing yards over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 15 times in 100.
plain
308.8
173.3
100200300
A +135.5 difference in passing yards at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 6 times in 100.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vsCCharleston Southern | W | 281 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Clemson | L | 244 | 185.7 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Jacksonville State | L | 187 | 152.5 | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Houston | L | 284 | 248.7 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Coastal Carolina | W | 233 | 197.5 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs James Madison | L | 343 | 216.2 | |
| Oct 15, 2026 | @ Old Dominion | W | 29 | 173.2 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs Appalachian State | W | 327 | 216.0 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed quarterbacks in its other 2026 games, plus 9.1 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for quarterbacks that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s quarterbacks’ passing yards in his games, 86%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 102% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Charleston Southern has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.