Jesse Legree’s receiving yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed receivers, Jesse Legree was 66.2 yards over at home and 30.0 yards over away in 2026, 3 games against 4. The plain averages are 159.8 and 117.8, a difference of 42.0.
receiving yards a game over expected
at home
+66.2
away
+30.0
050100
A +36.1 difference in receiving yards over expected at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
plain
159.8
117.8
100150200
A +42.0 difference in receiving yards at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | receiving yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | @ Houston | L | 136 | 90.4 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Texas Tech | L | 240 | 129.7 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Montana | W | 100 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ UTEP | W | 109 | 81.1 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Colorado State | W | 156 | 82.4 | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs San Diego State | W | 191 | 116.4 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Washington State | W | 108 | 94.4 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ Fresno State | L | 70 | 96.9 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed receivers in its other 2026 games, plus 6.9 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for receivers that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s receivers’ receiving yards in his games, 58%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 98% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Montana has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.