Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele’s passing yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed quarterbacks, Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele was 18.8 yards under at home and 34.7 yards over away in 2026, 3 games against 4. The plain averages are 228.3 and 209.5, a difference of 18.8. All 3 night games were at home.
passing yards a game over expected
at home
−18.8
away
+34.7
-1000100
A −53.4 difference in passing yards over expected at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
plain
228.3
209.5
200300400
A +18.8 difference in passing yards at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | passing yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs UCLA | L | 271 | 132.9 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Syracuse | W | 182 | 200.0 | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsWWagner | W | 413 | — | |
| Sep 25, 2026 | vs Clemson | L | 119 | 209.0 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ UNLV | L | 195 | 149.0 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs Wake Forest | L | 110 | 214.4 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ SMU | L | 265 | 134.1 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | @ NC State | L | 196 | 216.3 |
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed quarterbacks in its other 2026 games, plus 9.1 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for quarterbacks that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s quarterbacks’ passing yards in his games, 82%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 102% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Wagner has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.