Carson Clark’s receiving yards at home and away
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Against his share of what his opponents usually allowed receivers, Carson Clark was 20.7 yards over at home and 28.8 yards over away in 2026, 4 games against 5. The plain averages are 67.4 and 70.4, a difference of 3.0.
receiving yards a game over expected
at home
+20.7
away
+28.8
-2002040
A −8.1 difference in receiving yards over expected at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
plain
67.4
70.4
406080100
A −3.0 difference in receiving yards at home vs away is about what you’d expect.
The games
at homeaway
| Side | Date | Game | Result | receiving yards | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | @ USC | L | 74 | 37.7 | |
| Sep 4, 2026 | @ Eastern Michigan | W | 58 | 53.8 | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsCCal Poly | W | 81 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Fresno State | L | 27 | 48.7 | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | @ Hawaii | W | 74 | 39.7 | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | vs Wyoming | L | 91 | 40.0 | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | @ UTEP | W | 104 | 46.3 | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @ Nevada | L | 42 | 30.6 | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vs New Mexico | L | 91 | 34.0 | |
| Nov 7, 2026 | vs Northern Illinois | W | 47 | 50.5 |
Read next
Method
- Expected is what the opponent allowed receivers in its other 2026 games, plus 6.2 for the home team (half the league’s home edge for receivers that season), nothing at a neutral site, scaled to his share of his team’s receivers’ receiving yards in his games, 32%.
- Each expected number is then fit to the season’s games: a game bears out about 98% of the difference the model predicts.
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Cal Poly has no other game in the table, so that game has no expected number and sits out the second figure.